Santa Cruz 0-4 Nautico — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 20 Feb 2025

📅20/02/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
4.65
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
43%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.82
Over 2.5
34%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
1.9
No
66%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
18%
+12.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
43%
Away Win
57%
-13.4pp
66%
Under 2.5
51%
+14.6pp
34%
Over 2.5
49%
-14.6pp
34%
BTTS Yes
49%
-15.1pp
66%
BTTS No
51%
+15.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Cruz EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Nautico EU Bookmakers 61%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -68% / -68%
0.68/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-18% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -22%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
257 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 82%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Cruz
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Nautico
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
15.01.2023 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 3-3 HT 3-2 Nautico Nautico BRPER1
02.04.2022 Nautico Nautico 0-0 HT 0-0 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BRPER1
17.03.2022 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 1-1 HT 0-0 Nautico Nautico BRPER1
09.05.2021 Nautico Nautico 2-1 HT 1-0 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BRPER1
18.04.2021 Nautico Nautico 2-1 HT 2-0 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BRPER1
30.07.2020 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 0-0 HT 0-0 Nautico Nautico BRPER1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Cruz
0-4
AWAY Nautico
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Santa Cruz vs Nautico
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nautico swept aside Santa Cruz 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nautico as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (66%) landed while under 2.5 goals (66%) missed.

On the day, Santa Cruz had 58% of the ball to Nautico's 42%, shots finished 10-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nautico led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Santa Cruz and 1.33 for Nautico.

What was the final score of Santa Cruz vs Nautico?

Santa Cruz 0-4 Nautico in the Brazil - Cup on 20/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Cruz vs Nautico?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nautico win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Santa Cruz 31%, draw 26%, Nautico 43%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nautico), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nautico) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BRK More Brazil - Cup
20 Feb 2025
01:30 Sao Raimundo RR vs Gremio Analysis →
01:30 Boavista SC vs CSA Alagoano Analysis →
02:00 Sergipe vs Ceara Analysis →
02:00 Capital vs Portuguesa Analysis →
02:00 Porto Velho vs Cuiaba Analysis →
02:30 Trem vs Brusque Analysis →