Sergipe 0-2 Ceara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 20 Feb 2025

📅20/02/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.91
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
50%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
14%
+10.8pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.3pp
50%
Away Win
66%
-15.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.4pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sergipe EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceara EU Bookmakers 70%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.40/0.00
-100% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% /
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
216 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sergipe
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Ceara
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
6 Yellow Cards 4
27.03.2023 Ceara Ceara 3-1 HT 2-1 Sergipe Sergipe BRCDN
01.02.2022 Sergipe Sergipe 0-1 HT 0-1 Ceara Ceara BRCDN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sergipe
0-2
AWAY Ceara
39% Ball Possession 61%
3 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sergipe vs Ceara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceara beat Sergipe 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ceara as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sergipe had 39% of the ball to Ceara's 61%, shots finished 3-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ceara led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sergipe and 2.00 for Ceara.

What was the final score of Sergipe vs Ceara?

Sergipe 0-2 Ceara in the Brazil - Cup on 20/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sergipe vs Ceara?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ceara win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sergipe 24%, draw 25%, Ceara 50%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ceara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ceara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BRK More Brazil - Cup
20 Feb 2025
01:00 Santa Cruz vs Nautico Analysis →
01:30 Sao Raimundo RR vs Gremio Analysis →
01:30 Boavista SC vs CSA Alagoano Analysis →
02:00 Capital vs Portuguesa Analysis →
02:00 Porto Velho vs Cuiaba Analysis →
02:30 Trem vs Brusque Analysis →