UCV 1-1 Corinthians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 20 Feb 2025

UCV
1-1 HT 0-1
Corinthians
📅20/02/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Copa Libertadores – 2025

UCV vs Corinthians Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
6.35
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
53%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.14
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.37
6+ Goals
7%
13.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 29% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
33%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
13%
+8.2pp
26%
Draw
20%
+5.1pp
54%
Away Win
67%
-13.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.2pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

UCV v Corinthians — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UCV EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Corinthians EU Bookmakers 71%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
242 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 418 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

UCV 1-1 Corinthians — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UCV
1-1
AWAY Corinthians
1.17 xG 1.07
34% Ball Possession 66%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
229 Passes 530
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH UCV vs Corinthians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UCV and Corinthians shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Corinthians at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, UCV had 34% of the ball to Corinthians's 66%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.17 to 1.07.

What was the final score of UCV vs Corinthians?

UCV 1-1 Corinthians in the Copa Libertadores on 20/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UCV vs Corinthians?

Before kick-off our model rated an Corinthians win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split UCV 21%, draw 26%, Corinthians 54%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Corinthians), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Corinthians) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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