El Nacional vs Barcelona SC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
El Nacional v Barcelona SC — Team-Based Signals
El Nacional vs Barcelona SC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 1-1
El Nacional
EKV1
4-1
HT 2-1
Barcelona SC
EKV1
2-1
HT 2-1
Barcelona SC
EKVK
1-1
HT 1-0
Barcelona SC
EKV1
El Nacional 0-1 Barcelona SC — Actual Match Statistics
Barcelona SC edged past El Nacional 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Barcelona SC made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, El Nacional had 63% of the ball to Barcelona SC's 37%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.14 to 1.05.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, El Nacional had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for El Nacional and 1.17 for Barcelona SC.
What was the final score of El Nacional vs Barcelona SC?
El Nacional 0-1 Barcelona SC in the Copa Libertadores on 20/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for El Nacional vs Barcelona SC?
Before kick-off our model rated a El Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split El Nacional 39%, draw 26%, Barcelona SC 34%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.