Barcelona SC vs El Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Barcelona SC v El Nacional — Team-Based Signals
Barcelona SC vs El Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 1-1
El Nacional
EKV1
4-1
HT 2-1
Barcelona SC
EKV1
2-1
HT 2-1
Barcelona SC
EKVK
1-1
HT 1-0
Barcelona SC
EKV1
0-0
HT 0-0
El Nacional
EKV1
0-0
HT 0-0
El Nacional
EKVK
Barcelona SC 1-0 El Nacional — Actual Match Statistics
Barcelona SC edged past El Nacional 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Barcelona SC as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Barcelona SC had 69% of the ball to El Nacional's 31%, shots finished 8-7, expected goals 1.08 to 0.24.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, El Nacional led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Barcelona SC and 1.50 for El Nacional.
What was the final score of Barcelona SC vs El Nacional?
Barcelona SC 1-0 El Nacional in the Ecuador - Premier on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Barcelona SC vs El Nacional?
Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona SC win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Barcelona SC 54%, draw 24%, El Nacional 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona SC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.