Delfin 1-1 Macara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 19 Apr 2024

Delfin
1-1 HT 1-0
Macara
📅19/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2024

Delfin vs Macara Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.9pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.7pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.5pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Delfin v Macara — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Delfin EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Macara EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -18%
1.32/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/0.96
-1% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 74%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
13.6 Crosses 17.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.5

Delfin vs Macara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Delfin
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Macara
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.98 xG 1.61
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
250 Passes 280
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
26.07.2022 Macara Macara 1-2 HT 1-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
07.03.2022 Delfin Delfin 1-0 HT 1-0 Macara Macara EKV1
27.09.2021 Macara Macara 2-3 HT 0-3 Delfin Delfin EKV1
14.04.2021 Delfin Delfin 2-0 HT 1-0 Macara Macara EKV1
11.11.2020 Delfin Delfin 1-2 HT 1-1 Macara Macara EKV1
04.10.2020 Macara Macara 5-1 HT 3-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1

Delfin 1-1 Macara — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Delfin
1-1
AWAY Macara
0.39 xG 1.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
167 Passes 326
66% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Delfin vs Macara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Delfin and Macara couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Delfin at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Delfin had 38% of the ball to Macara's 62%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 0.39 to 1.00.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Delfin had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Delfin and 1.67 for Macara.

What was the final score of Delfin vs Macara?

Delfin 1-1 Macara in the Ecuador - Premier on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Delfin vs Macara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Delfin win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Delfin 41%, draw 31%, Macara 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Delfin), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Delfin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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