Al Gharraf 4-3 Duhok — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 20 Feb 2026

📅20/02/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
42%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.6
Over 2.5
38%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.09
No
61%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-3.2pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.8pp
42%
Away Win
36%
+6.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.7pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Gharraf EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Duhok EU Bookmakers 39%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
0.31/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.14
-73% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
286 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Al Gharraf vs Duhok
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Gharraf squeezed past Duhok 4-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Duhok at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Al Gharraf vs Duhok?

Al Gharraf 4-3 Duhok in the Iraq - Premier League on 20/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Gharraf vs Duhok?

Before kick-off our model rated an Duhok win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Gharraf 31%, draw 28%, Duhok 42%. The final score 4-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Duhok) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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