Newroz 2-0 Al Najaf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 20 Feb 2026

📅20/02/2026 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.89
Draw
18%
3.11
Away
20%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.64
Over 2.5
54%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
49%
+12.7pp
18%
Draw
29%
-10.6pp
20%
Away Win
22%
-2.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
57%
-11.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
43%
+11.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.4pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newroz EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Najaf EU Bookmakers 25%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.38/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.35/1.35
-1% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -67% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
335 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newroz
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Najaf
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
08.05.2025 Al Najaf Al Najaf 0-1 HT 0-1 Newroz IRAK
05.03.2024 Al Najaf Al Najaf 1-0 Newroz IRAK
POST-MATCH Newroz vs Al Najaf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newroz saw off Al Najaf 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Newroz as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Newroz and 0.50 for Al Najaf.

What was the final score of Newroz vs Al Najaf?

Newroz 2-0 Al Najaf in the Iraq - Premier League on 20/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newroz vs Al Najaf?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newroz win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Newroz 62%, draw 18%, Al Najaf 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newroz) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Newroz) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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