Fajr Sepasi 1-0 Shams Azar Qazvin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 20 Feb 2026

📅20/02/2026 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
27%
2.77
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.36
Over 2.5
42%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.33
No
55%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
1.81
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
15%
6.75
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+1.3pp
27%
Draw
32%
-5.3pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
70%
-12.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
30%
+12.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
39%
+6.4pp
55%
BTTS No
61%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fajr Sepasi EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Shams Azar Qazvin EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.19/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.04
+11% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
279 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fajr Sepasi
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Shams Azar Qazvin
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
18.10.2025 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin 0-1 HT 0-0 Fajr Sepasi Fajr Sepasi IRAN
POST-MATCH Fajr Sepasi vs Shams Azar Qazvin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fajr Sepasi edged past Shams Azar Qazvin 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fajr Sepasi as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Fajr Sepasi vs Shams Azar Qazvin?

Fajr Sepasi 1-0 Shams Azar Qazvin in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 20/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fajr Sepasi vs Shams Azar Qazvin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fajr Sepasi win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Fajr Sepasi 41%, draw 27%, Shams Azar Qazvin 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fajr Sepasi), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fajr Sepasi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
IRAN More Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League
20 Feb 2026
18:15 Chadormalu SC vs Gol Gohar Sirjan Analysis →
18:30 Aluminium Arak vs Paykan Qazvin Analysis →