Aluminium Arak 1-1 Paykan Qazvin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 20 Feb 2026

Aluminium Arak
1-1 HT 0-1
Paykan Qazvin
📅20/02/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League – 2025/2026

Aluminium Arak vs Paykan Qazvin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
38%
2.83
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.36
Over 2.5
28%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.29
No
63%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
48%
1.83
2-3 Goals
35%
1.79
4-5 Goals
11%
6.58
6+ Goals
6%
34.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 1.83 — our 48% vs market 44.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
22%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-3.1pp
38%
Draw
32%
+6.0pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-2.8pp
72%
Under 2.5
70%
+2.3pp
28%
Over 2.5
30%
-2.3pp
37%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.3pp
63%
BTTS No
60%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aluminium Arak v Paykan Qazvin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aluminium Arak EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Paykan Qazvin EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +6%
0.82/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/0.67
-16% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +39%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
289 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Aluminium Arak vs Paykan Qazvin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aluminium Arak
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Paykan Qazvin
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
The Meetings
18.10.2025 Paykan Qazvin Paykan Qazvin 0-1 HT 0-1 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
06.05.2024 Paykan Qazvin Paykan Qazvin 0-1 HT 0-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
24.11.2023 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 1-1 HT 0-1 Paykan Qazvin Paykan Qazvin IRAN
12.03.2023 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 0-0 HT 0-0 Paykan Qazvin Paykan Qazvin IRAN
06.10.2022 Paykan Qazvin Paykan Qazvin 0-0 HT 0-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
25.05.2022 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 1-1 HT 0-0 Paykan Qazvin Paykan Qazvin IRAN
POST-MATCH Aluminium Arak vs Paykan Qazvin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aluminium Arak and Paykan Qazvin couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 38% / 28%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (72%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aluminium Arak had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Aluminium Arak and 0.33 for Paykan Qazvin.

What was the final score of Aluminium Arak vs Paykan Qazvin?

Aluminium Arak 1-1 Paykan Qazvin in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 20/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aluminium Arak vs Paykan Qazvin?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Aluminium Arak 34%, draw 38%, Paykan Qazvin 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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