Ismaily 1-2 Wadi Degla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 20 Feb 2026

📅20/02/2026 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.65
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
49%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.44
Over 2.5
46%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.44
No
53%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
1.96
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
5.87
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
18%
+8.8pp
24%
Draw
30%
-5.9pp
49%
Away Win
52%
-3.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
66%
-11.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
34%
+11.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
37%
+10.4pp
53%
BTTS No
63%
-10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ismaily EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Wadi Degla EU Bookmakers 56%
-9% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
0.62/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/0.82
-28% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -96% / +150%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
234 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 81%
15.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
16.2 Crosses 23.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ismaily
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Wadi Degla
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.94 xG 0.98
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
273 Passes 282
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
17.01.2026 Ismaily Ismaily 1-2 HT 1-0 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla MSRLK
20.08.2021 Ismaily Ismaily 0-2 HT 0-0 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla MSR
05.03.2021 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla 0-0 HT 0-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
19.08.2020 Ismaily Ismaily 1-1 HT 0-0 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla MSR
05.10.2019 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla 0-1 HT 0-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
28.04.2015 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla 1-0 HT 0-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ismaily
1-2
AWAY Wadi Degla
0.37 xG 0.77
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 7
139 Passes 220
57% Pass Accuracy 71%
21 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ismaily vs Wadi Degla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wadi Degla edged past Ismaily 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Wadi Degla as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Ismaily had 44% of the ball to Wadi Degla's 56%, shots finished 7-7, expected goals 0.37 to 0.77.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wadi Degla led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ismaily and 1.00 for Wadi Degla.

What was the final score of Ismaily vs Wadi Degla?

Ismaily 1-2 Wadi Degla in the Egypt - Premier League on 20/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ismaily vs Wadi Degla?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wadi Degla win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ismaily 27%, draw 24%, Wadi Degla 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wadi Degla) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wadi Degla) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MSR More Egypt - Premier League
20 Feb 2026
22:30 Zamalek vs Haras El Hodood Analysis →
22:30 Pyramids vs Ceramica Cleopatra Analysis →
22:30 Ghazl El Mehalla vs Masr Analysis →