ES Ben Aknoun 2-3 MC Alger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 20 Mar 2024

📅20/03/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
5.34
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
49%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.33
No
58%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.38
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
5.08
6+ Goals
6%
30.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.38 — our 37% vs market 35.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
21%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
16%
+11.9pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
48%
Away Win
58%
-9.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
39%
+3.5pp
58%
BTTS No
61%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ES Ben Aknoun EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY MC Alger EU Bookmakers 62%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
0.68/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/0.82
-18% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +8%
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
233 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ES Ben Aknoun
0W-0D-1L
AWAY MC Alger
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
7 Corners 6
16.09.2023 MC Alger MC Alger 4-0 HT 2-0 ES Ben Aknoun ES Ben Aknoun CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ES Ben Aknoun
2-3
AWAY MC Alger
35% Ball Possession 65%
5 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH ES Ben Aknoun vs MC Alger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MC Alger edged past ES Ben Aknoun 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had MC Alger as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, ES Ben Aknoun had 35% of the ball to MC Alger's 65%, shots finished 5-5.

What was the final score of ES Ben Aknoun vs MC Alger?

ES Ben Aknoun 2-3 MC Alger in the Algeria - 1st Division on 20/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ES Ben Aknoun vs MC Alger?

Before kick-off our model rated an MC Alger win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split ES Ben Aknoun 28%, draw 23%, MC Alger 48%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MC Alger) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (MC Alger) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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CZYR More Algeria - 1st Division
20 Mar 2024
00:00 USM Alger vs ES Setif Analysis →