USM Alger 2-0 ES Setif — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 20 Mar 2024

USM Alger
2-0 HT 1-0
ES Setif
📅20/03/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Algeria - 1st Division – 2023/2024

USM Alger vs ES Setif Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.66
Draw
32%
3.54
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.67
Over 2.5
37%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.72
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.3
6+ Goals
10%
21.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.72 — our 34% vs market 30.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
56%
-13.6pp
33%
Draw
25%
+7.4pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+6.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.4pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

USM Alger v ES Setif — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Alger EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY ES Setif EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.77/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.30
+23% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
244 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.6

USM Alger vs ES Setif Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Alger
1W-3D-2L
AWAY ES Setif
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.11.2023 ES Setif ES Setif 2-1 HT 1-1 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
30.09.2023 ES Setif ES Setif 0-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
09.04.2023 ES Setif ES Setif 1-0 HT 0-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
03.12.2022 USM Alger USM Alger 1-1 HT 0-0 ES Setif ES Setif CZYR
07.02.2022 USM Alger USM Alger 1-0 HT 1-0 ES Setif ES Setif CZYR
05.05.2021 ES Setif ES Setif 1-1 HT 0-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR

USM Alger 2-0 ES Setif — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME USM Alger
2-0
AWAY ES Setif
44% Ball Possession 56%
4 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH USM Alger vs ES Setif
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Alger got the better of ES Setif 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had USM Alger as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, USM Alger had 44% of the ball to ES Setif's 56%, shots finished 4-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ES Setif led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for USM Alger and 0.83 for ES Setif.

What was the final score of USM Alger vs ES Setif?

USM Alger 2-0 ES Setif in the Algeria - 1st Division on 20/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Alger vs ES Setif?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Alger win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split USM Alger 43%, draw 33%, ES Setif 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM Alger), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (USM Alger) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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