Orense vs Imbabura Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Orense v Imbabura — Team-Based Signals
Orense 1-2 Imbabura — Actual Match Statistics
Imbabura edged past Orense 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Orense at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Orense had 59% of the ball to Imbabura's 41%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.68 to 0.47 — the balance of chances actually favoured Orense.
What was the final score of Orense vs Imbabura?
Orense 1-2 Imbabura in the Ecuador - Premier on 20/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Orense vs Imbabura?
Before kick-off our model rated a Orense win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Orense 50%, draw 25%, Imbabura 25%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.