20/03/2024
·
02:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
2-1
Minnesota United vs St Patricks Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
24%
Draw
26%
35%
Away Win
32%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Minnesota United v St Patricks — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Minnesota United
EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY
St Patricks
EU Bookmakers 36%
+30% /
+30%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+24%
/
+22%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
53%
Ball Possession
47%
17
Total Shots
12
7
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
5
298 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
274 · 70%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Minnesota United vs St Patricks
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Minnesota United edged past St Patricks 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 24% / 35% — and on the day Minnesota United made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
What was the final score of Minnesota United vs St Patricks?
Minnesota United 1-0 St Patricks in the Friendlies on 20/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Minnesota United vs St Patricks?
Before kick-off our model rated a Minnesota United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Minnesota United 40%, draw 24%, St Patricks 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Minnesota United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Minnesota United)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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HAZ
More Friendlies
20 Mar 2024