San Marino 1-3 Saint Kitts ve Nevis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 20 Mar 2024

📅20/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
43%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
36%
-6.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
43%
Away Win
37%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Marino EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Saint Kitts ve Nevis EU Bookmakers 40%
+53% / +53% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-30% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
328 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Marino
1-3
AWAY Saint Kitts ve Nevis
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
POST-MATCH San Marino vs Saint Kitts ve Nevis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saint Kitts ve Nevis got the better of San Marino 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Saint Kitts ve Nevis as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, San Marino had 56% of the ball to Saint Kitts ve Nevis's 44%, shots finished 10-8.

What was the final score of San Marino vs Saint Kitts ve Nevis?

San Marino 1-3 Saint Kitts ve Nevis in the Friendlies on 20/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Marino vs Saint Kitts ve Nevis?

Before kick-off our model rated an Saint Kitts ve Nevis win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split San Marino 30%, draw 27%, Saint Kitts ve Nevis 43%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saint Kitts ve Nevis), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Saint Kitts ve Nevis) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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