Carolina Core 1-2 Virginia Dream — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 20 Mar 2026

📅20/03/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.53
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
16%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.49
No
46%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
61%
+3.4pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.4pp
16%
Away Win
19%
-3.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.4pp
46%
BTTS No
37%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carolina Core EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Virginia Dream EU Bookmakers 22%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+34% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
347 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carolina Core
1-2
AWAY Virginia Dream
0.58 xG 0.45
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 0
403 Passes 256
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 4
18 Crosses 5
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Carolina Core vs Virginia Dream
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Virginia Dream edged past Carolina Core 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Carolina Core carried 64% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Carolina Core had 60% of the ball to Virginia Dream's 40%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 0.58 to 0.45.

What was the final score of Carolina Core vs Virginia Dream?

Carolina Core 1-2 Virginia Dream in the USA - Open Cup on 20/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carolina Core vs Virginia Dream?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carolina Core win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Carolina Core 64%, draw 20%, Virginia Dream 16%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Carolina Core) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Carolina Core) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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