Lexington 9-0 Flower City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 20 Mar 2026

📅20/03/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
73%
1.18
Draw
13%
6.26
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
2.16
No
45%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
26%
X/2
5%
X/X
4%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
80%
-7.3pp
13%
Draw
13%
+0.1pp
14%
Away Win
7%
+7.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
42%
+12.9pp
45%
BTTS No
58%
-12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lexington EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Flower City EU Bookmakers 9%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
2.82/0.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.12/2.48
+83% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -46%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
422 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
40.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 4.0
24.0 Crosses 13.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lexington
9-0
AWAY Flower City
5.90 xG 0.14
77% Ball Possession 23%
38 Total Shots 3
18 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 0
583 Passes 110
90% Pass Accuracy 58%
58 Box Touches 4
24 Crosses 2
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lexington vs Flower City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lexington swept aside Flower City 9-0. Half-time: 3-0. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lexington as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 9-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Lexington had 77% of the ball to Flower City's 23%, shots finished 38-3, expected goals 5.90 to 0.14.

What was the final score of Lexington vs Flower City?

Lexington 9-0 Flower City in the USA - Open Cup on 20/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lexington vs Flower City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lexington win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Lexington 73%, draw 13%, Flower City 14%. The final score 9-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lexington), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lexington) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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