FC Liefering 2-5 WSPG Wels — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 20 Mar 2026

📅20/03/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.15
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
24%
3.34
6+ Goals
11%
12.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.72
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
15%
4.66
X/2
16%
7.29
X/X
12%
4.73
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
24.35
2/2
11%
5.42
2/X
5%
13.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.35 — our 11% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-3.5pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.2pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.3pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Liefering EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY WSPG Wels EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -41% / -41%
2.04/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/3.20
+31% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -50%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.8 Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Liefering
0W-1D-0L
AWAY WSPG Wels
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
19.09.2025 WSPG Wels 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
POST-MATCH FC Liefering vs WSPG Wels
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

WSPG Wels swept aside FC Liefering 5-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was FC Liefering at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

What was the final score of FC Liefering vs WSPG Wels?

FC Liefering 2-5 WSPG Wels in the Austria - 1st Division on 20/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Liefering vs WSPG Wels?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Liefering win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split FC Liefering 44%, draw 23%, WSPG Wels 33%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Liefering) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Liefering) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AU2 More Austria - 1st Division
20 Mar 2026
20:00 Austria Klagenfurt vs First Vienna Analysis →
20:00 Admira Wacker vs Rapid Wien II Analysis →
20:00 St. Pölten vs Austria Salzburg Analysis →
22:30 Floridsdorfer AC vs Austria Lustenau Analysis →