St. Pölten 2-1 Austria Salzburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 20 Mar 2026

St. Pölten
2-1 HT 0-1
Austria Salzburg
📅20/03/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Austria - 1st Division – 2025/2026

St. Pölten vs Austria Salzburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.34
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
17%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.02
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
2.83
6+ Goals
10%
8.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.02 — our 25% vs market 18.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.57
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
7%
19.3
X/1
23%
3.75
X/2
6%
16.05
X/X
7%
7.07
2/1
6%
21.8
2/2
6%
13.8
2/X
6%
22.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
70%
-6.6pp
20%
Draw
18%
+1.5pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+5.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.2pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

St. Pölten v Austria Salzburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Pölten EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Austria Salzburg EU Bookmakers 15%
+1% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.56/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.60
+19% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +31%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
376 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 71%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
26.0 Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.7

St. Pölten vs Austria Salzburg Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Pölten
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Austria Salzburg
3.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
The Meetings
20.09.2025 Austria Salzburg Austria Salzburg 1-2 HT 0-0 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
15.04.2016 Austria Salzburg Austria Salzburg 0-1 HT 0-1 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
27.11.2015 St. Pölten St. Pölten 6-2 HT 6-1 Austria Salzburg Austria Salzburg AU2
18.09.2015 Austria Salzburg Austria Salzburg 1-5 HT 0-3 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
24.07.2015 St. Pölten St. Pölten 2-2 HT 2-2 Austria Salzburg Austria Salzburg AU2
POST-MATCH St. Pölten vs Austria Salzburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pölten squeezed past Austria Salzburg 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had St. Pölten as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, St. Pölten had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.20 goals for St. Pölten and 1.20 for Austria Salzburg.

What was the final score of St. Pölten vs Austria Salzburg?

St. Pölten 2-1 Austria Salzburg in the Austria - 1st Division on 20/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Pölten vs Austria Salzburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Pölten win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split St. Pölten 63%, draw 20%, Austria Salzburg 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Pölten) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St. Pölten) ✗ BTTS No
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