Austria Salzburg 1-2 St. Pölten — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 20 Sep 2025

Austria Salzburg
1-2 HT 0-0
St. Pölten
📅20/09/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✓ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Austria - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Austria Salzburg vs St. Pölten Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.75
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
53%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.61
No
38%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
4.14
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
31%
2.77
6+ Goals
11%
7.96
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.77 — our 31% vs market 28.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
6.39
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
20.25
1/X
4%
14.85
X/1
6%
8.82
X/2
17%
4.39
X/X
13%
5.84
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
25%
2.21
2/X
4%
13.65
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.25 — our 11% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
23%
+2.4pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.0pp
53%
Away Win
54%
-0.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.2pp
62%
BTTS Yes
58%
+3.8pp
38%
BTTS No
42%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Austria Salzburg v St. Pölten — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austria Salzburg EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pölten EU Bookmakers 57%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.81/2.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.10/1.12
+50% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +5%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
186 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.1

Austria Salzburg vs St. Pölten Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austria Salzburg
0W-1D-3L
AWAY St. Pölten
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
The Meetings
15.04.2016 Austria Salzburg Austria Salzburg 0-1 HT 0-1 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
27.11.2015 St. Pölten St. Pölten 6-2 HT 6-1 Austria Salzburg Austria Salzburg AU2
18.09.2015 Austria Salzburg Austria Salzburg 1-5 HT 0-3 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
24.07.2015 St. Pölten St. Pölten 2-2 HT 2-2 Austria Salzburg Austria Salzburg AU2
POST-MATCH Austria Salzburg vs St. Pölten
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pölten squeezed past Austria Salzburg 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had St. Pölten as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, St. Pölten led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Austria Salzburg and 3.50 for St. Pölten.

What was the final score of Austria Salzburg vs St. Pölten?

Austria Salzburg 1-2 St. Pölten in the Austria - 1st Division on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austria Salzburg vs St. Pölten?

Before kick-off our model rated an St. Pölten win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Austria Salzburg 26%, draw 21%, St. Pölten 53%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Pölten), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St. Pölten) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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