Sturm Graz II 1-2 Austria Wien II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.53
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
45%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.5
No
39%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
-4.0pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
45%
Away Win
41%
+4.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.0pp
61%
BTTS Yes
62%
-1.2pp
39%
BTTS No
38%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sturm Graz II EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Austria Wien II EU Bookmakers 45%
+6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +12%
1.65/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.79
+14% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +64%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
248 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 78%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.7 Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sturm Graz II
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Austria Wien II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.04.2023 Austria Wien II Austria Wien II 0-1 HT 0-1 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
03.09.2022 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 1-2 HT 0-0 Austria Wien II Austria Wien II AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sturm Graz II
1-2
AWAY Austria Wien II
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sturm Graz II vs Austria Wien II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austria Wien II edged past Sturm Graz II 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Austria Wien II as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sturm Graz II had 45% of the ball to Austria Wien II's 55%, shots finished 10-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sturm Graz II and 1.00 for Austria Wien II.

What was the final score of Sturm Graz II vs Austria Wien II?

Sturm Graz II 1-2 Austria Wien II in the Austria - 1st Division on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sturm Graz II vs Austria Wien II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Austria Wien II win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sturm Graz II 32%, draw 23%, Austria Wien II 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Austria Wien II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Austria Wien II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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