Olympic Charleroi 1-2 KRC Genk II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 20 Mar 2026

Olympic Charleroi
1-2 HT 0-0
KRC Genk II
📅20/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Belgium - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Olympic Charleroi vs KRC Genk II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
42%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.21
Over 2.5
48%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.53
No
50%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.12
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
2.8
6+ Goals
8%
8.13
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.12 — our 30% vs market 17.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-4.7pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.7pp
42%
Away Win
35%
+6.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
61%
-11.6pp
50%
BTTS No
39%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Olympic Charleroi v KRC Genk II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olympic Charleroi EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY KRC Genk II EU Bookmakers 39%
-56% / -56% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.19/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.58
-48% / -60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
20.3 Crosses 14.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8

Olympic Charleroi vs KRC Genk II Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olympic Charleroi
1W-0D-0L
AWAY KRC Genk II
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
3.92 xG 1.89
49% Ball Possession 51%
21 Total Shots 6
12 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
312 Passes 331
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
31 Box Touches 12
29 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
30.11.2025 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 3-4 HT 2-1 Olympic Charleroi Olympic Charleroi BEL2

Olympic Charleroi 1-2 KRC Genk II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olympic Charleroi
1-2
AWAY KRC Genk II
0.81 xG 1.91
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
287 Passes 375
79% Pass Accuracy 88%
11 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Olympic Charleroi vs KRC Genk II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KRC Genk II squeezed past Olympic Charleroi 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had KRC Genk II as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Olympic Charleroi had 46% of the ball to KRC Genk II's 54%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.81 to 1.91.

What was the final score of Olympic Charleroi vs KRC Genk II?

Olympic Charleroi 1-2 KRC Genk II in the Belgium - 1st Division on 20/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olympic Charleroi vs KRC Genk II?

Before kick-off our model rated an KRC Genk II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Olympic Charleroi 35%, draw 23%, KRC Genk II 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KRC Genk II) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (KRC Genk II) ✗ Under 2.5
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