Albirex Niigata 2-3 Kataller Toyama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 20 Mar 2026

📅20/03/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
40%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
40%
-5.6pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.0pp
40%
Away Win
32%
+7.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.4pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albirex Niigata EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Kataller Toyama EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -51%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
459 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 22.0
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Albirex Niigata
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Kataller Toyama
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
19.07.2023 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 3-4 HT 0-1 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Albirex Niigata
2-3
AWAY Kataller Toyama
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
440 Passes 201
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Albirex Niigata vs Kataller Toyama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kataller Toyama edged past Albirex Niigata 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 40% — and on the day Kataller Toyama made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Albirex Niigata had 66% of the ball to Kataller Toyama's 34%, shots finished 18-19.

What was the final score of Albirex Niigata vs Kataller Toyama?

Albirex Niigata 2-3 Kataller Toyama in the JAP2-3 on 20/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albirex Niigata vs Kataller Toyama?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kataller Toyama win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Albirex Niigata 34%, draw 26%, Kataller Toyama 40%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kataller Toyama) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kataller Toyama) ✗ Under 2.5
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