ThespaKusatsu Gunma 0-2 Shonan Bellmare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 20 Mar 2026

📅20/03/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.69
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
50%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.05
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.43
6+ Goals
10%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.05 — our 29% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
24%
-0.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
50%
Away Win
51%
-0.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.6pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Shonan Bellmare EU Bookmakers 55%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-11% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
351 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.0 Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Shonan Bellmare
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 24
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 10
01.11.2014 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 1-0 HT 0-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
05.07.2014 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 0-1 HT 0-1 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma
0-2
AWAY Shonan Bellmare
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
303 Passes 264
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Shonan Bellmare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shonan Bellmare beat ThespaKusatsu Gunma 2-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Shonan Bellmare as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, ThespaKusatsu Gunma had 53% of the ball to Shonan Bellmare's 47%, shots finished 10-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Shonan Bellmare led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for ThespaKusatsu Gunma and 1.00 for Shonan Bellmare.

What was the final score of ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Shonan Bellmare?

ThespaKusatsu Gunma 0-2 Shonan Bellmare in the JAP2-3 on 20/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Shonan Bellmare?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shonan Bellmare win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split ThespaKusatsu Gunma 24%, draw 26%, Shonan Bellmare 50%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shonan Bellmare), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shonan Bellmare) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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