Kyzyl-Zhar 2-2 Irtysh Pavlodar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 20 Mar 2026

Kyzyl-Zhar
2-2 HT 0-0
Irtysh Pavlodar
📅20/03/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
Kazakistan - Super League – 2026

Kyzyl-Zhar vs Irtysh Pavlodar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.62
Over 2.5
49%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.9pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.7pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
58%
-7.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
42%
+7.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.1pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kyzyl-Zhar v Irtysh Pavlodar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kyzyl-Zhar EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Irtysh Pavlodar EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.70/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/0.78
+30% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +49%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
319 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards –

Kyzyl-Zhar vs Irtysh Pavlodar Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kyzyl-Zhar
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Irtysh Pavlodar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
The Meetings
14.03.2020 Irtysh Pavlodar Irtysh Pavlodar 1-1 HT 1-1 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
14.05.2014 Irtysh Pavlodar Irtysh Pavlodar 3-1 HT 2-0 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZKK
POST-MATCH Kyzyl-Zhar vs Irtysh Pavlodar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kyzyl-Zhar and Irtysh Pavlodar couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Irtysh Pavlodar led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kyzyl-Zhar and 2.00 for Irtysh Pavlodar.

What was the final score of Kyzyl-Zhar vs Irtysh Pavlodar?

Kyzyl-Zhar 2-2 Irtysh Pavlodar in the Kazakistan - Super League on 20/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kyzyl-Zhar vs Irtysh Pavlodar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kyzyl-Zhar win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Kyzyl-Zhar 38%, draw 30%, Irtysh Pavlodar 32%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kyzyl-Zhar), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kyzyl-Zhar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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