FC Astana 2-0 Tobol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 20 Mar 2026

📅20/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
22%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.97
Over 2.5
58%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.7
No
38%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
50%
+4.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-2.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
47%
-4.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
53%
+4.7pp
62%
BTTS Yes
55%
+7.4pp
38%
BTTS No
45%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Astana EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Tobol EU Bookmakers 28%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +3%
1.41/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.66
+0% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -23%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
399 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Astana
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Tobol
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
19.09.2025 Tobol Tobol 2-3 HT 2-2 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
10.05.2025 FC Astana FC Astana 1-3 HT 0-3 Tobol Tobol KAZP
03.11.2024 Tobol Tobol 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
08.05.2024 Tobol Tobol 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Astana FC Astana KAZKK
21.04.2024 FC Astana FC Astana 2-2 HT 1-1 Tobol Tobol KAZP
16.09.2023 FC Astana FC Astana 2-1 HT 1-0 Tobol Tobol KAZP
POST-MATCH FC Astana vs Tobol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Astana saw off Tobol 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Astana as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tobol led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FC Astana and 1.67 for Tobol.

What was the final score of FC Astana vs Tobol?

FC Astana 2-0 Tobol in the Kazakistan - Super League on 20/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Astana vs Tobol?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Astana win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split FC Astana 54%, draw 24%, Tobol 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Astana) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Astana) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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