Cove Rangers 2-3 Alloa Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
17%
3.64
Away
47%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.51
Over 2.5
61%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.43
No
44%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.36
2-3 Goals
37%
1.99
4-5 Goals
26%
2.68
6+ Goals
16%
6.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
16%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-4.5pp
17%
Draw
24%
-7.2pp
47%
Away Win
35%
+11.7pp
39%
Under 2.5
36%
+3.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
64%
-3.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
66%
-10.2pp
44%
BTTS No
34%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cove Rangers EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 38%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +15%
1.77/1.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/1.42
+9% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / +6%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cove Rangers
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Alloa Athletic
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
17.02.2024 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 4-1 HT 1-0 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İK1
16.12.2023 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 1-2 HT 1-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
02.09.2023 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-0 HT 1-0 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İK1
16.04.2022 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 3-0 HT 0-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
26.02.2022 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 2-2 HT 2-0 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İK1
18.12.2021 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 3-0 HT 1-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
POST-MATCH Cove Rangers vs Alloa Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alloa Athletic edged past Cove Rangers 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Alloa Athletic as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alloa Athletic led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Cove Rangers and 1.50 for Alloa Athletic.

What was the final score of Cove Rangers vs Alloa Athletic?

Cove Rangers 2-3 Alloa Athletic in the Scotland - 1st Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cove Rangers vs Alloa Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alloa Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Cove Rangers 36%, draw 17%, Alloa Athletic 47%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alloa Athletic), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alloa Athletic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İK1 More Scotland - 1st Division
20 Apr 2024
17:00 Stirling Albion vs Queen Of The South Analysis →