Aberdeen 3-3 Celtic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Cup, 20 Apr 2024

Aberdeen
3-3 HT 1-1
Celtic
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Scotland - Cup – 2023/2024

Aberdeen vs Celtic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
7.78
Draw
21%
5.15
Away
58%
1.26
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.59
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.51
2-3 Goals
41%
2.01
4-5 Goals
26%
2.65
6+ Goals
11%
6.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
15.55
1/2
8%
21.45
1/X
7%
23.15
X/1
6%
21.0
X/2
14%
3.5
X/X
7%
8.7
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
36%
1.46
2/X
7%
23.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
10%
+11.7pp
21%
Draw
16%
+4.6pp
58%
Away Win
74%
-16.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.7pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aberdeen v Celtic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aberdeen EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Celtic EU Bookmakers 79%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
0.02/3.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.42/0.44
-97% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +71%
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
192 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 518 · 85%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.7
– Crosses 19.5
– Yellow Cards 1.8

Aberdeen vs Celtic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aberdeen
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Celtic
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
0.58 xG 2.77
25% Ball Possession 75%
5 Total Shots 22
1 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 10
140 Passes 621
60% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 49
10 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.02.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 1-1 HT 0-0 Celtic Celtic İKP
12.11.2023 Celtic Celtic 6-0 HT 2-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
13.08.2023 Aberdeen Aberdeen 1-3 HT 1-2 Celtic Celtic İKP
27.05.2023 Celtic Celtic 5-0 HT 2-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
18.02.2023 Celtic Celtic 4-0 HT 2-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
17.12.2022 Aberdeen Aberdeen 0-1 HT 0-0 Celtic Celtic İKP

Aberdeen 3-3 Celtic — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aberdeen
3-3
AWAY Celtic
2.52 xG 3.30
33% Ball Possession 67%
13 Total Shots 23
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 14
248 Passes 644
65% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 62
27 Crosses 37
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aberdeen vs Celtic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aberdeen and Celtic couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Celtic at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Aberdeen had 33% of the ball to Celtic's 67%, shots finished 13-23, expected goals 2.52 to 3.30.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Aberdeen and 3.33 for Celtic.

What was the final score of Aberdeen vs Celtic?

Aberdeen 3-3 Celtic in the Scotland - Cup on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aberdeen vs Celtic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Aberdeen 21%, draw 21%, Celtic 58%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Celtic), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Celtic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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