Essen-Schönebeck (K) 2-1 Hoffenheim (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
18%
2/1
12%
2/2
11%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
29%
+4.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-6.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.1pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Essen-Schönebeck (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoffenheim (K) EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +147% / -40%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
328 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
Crosses 18.1
Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Essen-Schönebeck (K)
2-1
AWAY Hoffenheim (K)
1.80 xG 2.15
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
251 Passes 299
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Essen-Schönebeck (K) vs Hoffenheim (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Essen-Schönebeck (K) edged past Hoffenheim (K) 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Essen-Schönebeck (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Essen-Schönebeck (K) had 46% of the ball to Hoffenheim (K)'s 54%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 1.80 to 2.15.

What was the final score of Essen-Schönebeck (K) vs Hoffenheim (K)?

Essen-Schönebeck (K) 2-1 Hoffenheim (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Essen-Schönebeck (K) vs Hoffenheim (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hoffenheim (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Essen-Schönebeck (K) 33%, draw 28%, Hoffenheim (K) 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hoffenheim (K)), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hoffenheim (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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