Greuther Fürth U19 1-2 Nürnberg U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - U19 Bundesliga, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.46
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
41%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.98
Over 2.5
65%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.35
No
38%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
25%
+10.1pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.0pp
41%
Away Win
53%
-12.0pp
35%
Under 2.5
30%
+5.4pp
65%
Over 2.5
70%
-5.4pp
62%
BTTS Yes
70%
-7.9pp
38%
BTTS No
30%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greuther Fürth U19 EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Nürnberg U19 EU Bookmakers 57%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
343 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greuther Fürth U19
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Nürnberg U19
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 6.00
02.11.2023 Nürnberg U19 Nürnberg U19 6-1 HT 3-1 Greuther Fürth U19 Greuther Fürth U19 ALU19
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Greuther Fürth U19
1-2
AWAY Nürnberg U19
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Greuther Fürth U19 vs Nürnberg U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nürnberg U19 squeezed past Greuther Fürth U19 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nürnberg U19 as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, Greuther Fürth U19 had 41% of the ball to Nürnberg U19's 59%, shots finished 9-16.

What was the final score of Greuther Fürth U19 vs Nürnberg U19?

Greuther Fürth U19 1-2 Nürnberg U19 in the Germany - U19 Bundesliga on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greuther Fürth U19 vs Nürnberg U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nürnberg U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Greuther Fürth U19 35%, draw 24%, Nürnberg U19 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nürnberg U19), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nürnberg U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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