Al Wahda 1-2 Ajman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 20 Apr 2024

Al Wahda
1-2 HT 1-0
Ajman
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
UAE - League – 2023/2024

Al Wahda vs Ajman Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.51
Over 2.5
56%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.49
No
46%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.55
2-3 Goals
37%
2.02
4-5 Goals
26%
2.65
6+ Goals
14%
6.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-4.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
-8.9pp
46%
BTTS No
37%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Wahda v Ajman — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Wahda EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajman EU Bookmakers 27%
+2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +18%
1.65/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.31
+26% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
335 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
22.5 Crosses 15.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5

Al Wahda vs Ajman Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Wahda
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Ajman
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.37 xG 1.27
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
363 Passes 288
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 11
25 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
04.11.2023 Ajman Ajman 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAE
06.05.2023 Ajman Ajman 2-3 HT 1-2 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAE
25.12.2022 Al Wahda Al Wahda 0-1 HT 0-0 Ajman Ajman BAE
10.05.2022 Ajman Ajman 2-2 HT 0-0 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAE
21.12.2021 Al Wahda Al Wahda 1-0 HT 0-0 Ajman Ajman BAECK
21.11.2021 Al Wahda Al Wahda 3-0 HT 1-0 Ajman Ajman BAE

Al Wahda 1-2 Ajman — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Wahda
1-2
AWAY Ajman
0.70 xG 1.95
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
336 Passes 428
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
10 Box Touches 37
11 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Wahda vs Ajman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajman nicked a narrow win over Al Wahda 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Al Wahda at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Wahda had 44% of the ball to Ajman's 56%, shots finished 12-19, expected goals 0.70 to 1.95 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Ajman's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Wahda had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Wahda and 0.83 for Ajman.

What was the final score of Al Wahda vs Ajman?

Al Wahda 1-2 Ajman in the UAE - League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Wahda vs Ajman?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Wahda win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Al Wahda 48%, draw 25%, Ajman 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Wahda) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Wahda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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