Hatta Dubai 1-1 Emirates — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
48%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.98
Over 2.5
49%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.32
No
49%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
7.77
2-3 Goals EV+ ✓
52%
2.28
4-5 Goals
21%
2.41
6+ Goals
8%
4.35
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 2.28 — our 52% vs market 37.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
32%
-5.2pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.0pp
48%
Away Win
45%
+3.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
30%
+20.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
70%
-20.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
72%
-20.9pp
49%
BTTS No
28%
+20.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hatta Dubai EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Emirates EU Bookmakers 49%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
1.12/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.00
-18% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +88% /
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
361 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 78%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.7 Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hatta Dubai
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Emirates
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.90 xG 1.35
42% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
206 Passes 425
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 39
11 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2023 Emirates Emirates 2-4 HT 0-3 Hatta Dubai Hatta Dubai BAE
06.02.2023 Hatta Dubai Hatta Dubai 3-2 HT 2-1 Emirates Emirates BAE2
25.09.2022 Emirates Emirates 3-0 HT 0-0 Hatta Dubai Hatta Dubai BAE2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hatta Dubai
1-1
AWAY Emirates
2.59 xG 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
20 Total Shots 14
11 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
350 Passes 386
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
39 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hatta Dubai vs Emirates
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hatta Dubai and Emirates couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Emirates at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Hatta Dubai had 48% of the ball to Emirates's 52%, shots finished 20-14, expected goals 2.59 to 1.33.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Hatta Dubai had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Hatta Dubai and 2.33 for Emirates.

What was the final score of Hatta Dubai vs Emirates?

Hatta Dubai 1-1 Emirates in the UAE - League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hatta Dubai vs Emirates?

Before kick-off our model rated an Emirates win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Hatta Dubai 27%, draw 25%, Emirates 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Emirates) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Emirates) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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