Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 2-0 Shakhtyor Soligorsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
38%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.31
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.28
6+ Goals
7%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-6.9pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.0pp
38%
Away Win
28%
+9.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.8pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Shakhtyor Soligorsk EU Bookmakers 32%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -8%
0.72/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.28
-45% / +124% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
319 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Shakhtyor Soligorsk
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
34% Ball Possession 66%
5 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
18.10.2022 Shakhtyor Soligorsk Shakhtyor Soligorsk 3-0 HT 2-0 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLR
19.06.2022 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 1-2 HT 0-1 Shakhtyor Soligorsk Shakhtyor Soligorsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
2-0
AWAY Shakhtyor Soligorsk
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs Shakhtyor Soligorsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk beat Shakhtyor Soligorsk 2-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk had 52% of the ball to Shakhtyor Soligorsk's 48%, shots finished 16-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Shakhtyor Soligorsk led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk and 2.50 for Shakhtyor Soligorsk.

What was the final score of Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs Shakhtyor Soligorsk?

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 2-0 Shakhtyor Soligorsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs Shakhtyor Soligorsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shakhtyor Soligorsk win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 35%, draw 26%, Shakhtyor Soligorsk 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Shakhtyor Soligorsk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shakhtyor Soligorsk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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