Hobro IK 1-2 FC Fredericia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 20 Apr 2024

Hobro IK
1-2 HT 0-1
FC Fredericia
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Denmark 1st Division – 2023/2024

Hobro IK vs FC Fredericia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.82
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
3.21
6+ Goals
11%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 28% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.49
1/2
9%
28.0
1/X
6%
12.35
X/1
10%
5.57
X/2
10%
5.93
X/X
9%
4.8
2/1
5%
26.5
2/2
18%
3.81
2/X
8%
12.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+2.3pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.1pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+1.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.0pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hobro IK v FC Fredericia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hobro IK EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Fredericia EU Bookmakers 38%
-13% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +23%
1.00/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.29
-42% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
328 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 76%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.1
21.7 Crosses 14.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.4

Hobro IK vs FC Fredericia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hobro IK
1W-2D-3L
AWAY FC Fredericia
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.23 xG 0.80
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
359 Passes 466
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.02.2024 Hobro IK Hobro IK 0-2 HT 0-1 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia DAN1
23.07.2023 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 0-2 HT 0-1 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
05.05.2023 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 2-2 HT 0-0 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
23.04.2023 Hobro IK Hobro IK 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia DAN1
23.10.2022 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 0-0 HT 0-0 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
11.09.2022 Hobro IK Hobro IK 1-3 HT 0-1 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia DAN1

Hobro IK 1-2 FC Fredericia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hobro IK
1-2
AWAY FC Fredericia
2.44 xG 1.39
44% Ball Possession 56%
21 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
456 Passes 639
85% Pass Accuracy 89%
35 Box Touches 30
27 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hobro IK vs FC Fredericia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Fredericia edged past Hobro IK 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 23% / 36% — and on the day FC Fredericia made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Hobro IK had 44% of the ball to FC Fredericia's 56%, shots finished 21-15, expected goals 2.44 to 1.39 — the balance of chances actually favoured Hobro IK.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Fredericia led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Hobro IK and 1.33 for FC Fredericia.

What was the final score of Hobro IK vs FC Fredericia?

Hobro IK 1-2 FC Fredericia in the Denmark 1st Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hobro IK vs FC Fredericia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hobro IK win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hobro IK 41%, draw 23%, FC Fredericia 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Hobro IK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hobro IK) ✓ Over 2.5
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