Aucas vs Emelec Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aucas v Emelec — Team-Based Signals
Aucas vs Emelec Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Aucas
EKV1
2-1
HT 1-0
Emelec
EKV1
1-1
HT 0-0
Emelec
EKV1
0-2
HT 0-1
Aucas
EKVK
1-0
HT 1-0
Aucas
EKV1
2-2
HT 2-1
Aucas
EKV1
Aucas 3-1 Emelec — Actual Match Statistics
Aucas saw off Emelec 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Aucas as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Aucas had 51% of the ball to Emelec's 49%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.87 to 1.18.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aucas had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Aucas and 0.83 for Emelec.
What was the final score of Aucas vs Emelec?
Aucas 3-1 Emelec in the Ecuador - Premier on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aucas vs Emelec?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aucas win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Aucas 44%, draw 27%, Emelec 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aucas) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.