Orense 1-0 LDU Quito — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
12%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+2.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-1.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.4pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orense EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY LDU Quito EU Bookmakers 46%
+9% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.25/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.23
+13% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
241 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
17.4 Crosses 15.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orense
3W-1D-2L
AWAY LDU Quito
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.03 xG 1.29
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
191 Passes 354
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
23.09.2023 LDU Quito LDU Quito 1-0 HT 0-0 Orense Orense EKV1
23.04.2023 Orense Orense 2-1 HT 1-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
05.09.2022 LDU Quito LDU Quito 1-2 HT 0-2 Orense Orense EKV1
20.04.2022 Orense Orense 3-0 HT 2-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
21.11.2021 Orense Orense 1-1 HT 0-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
31.05.2021 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-1 HT 1-0 Orense Orense EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orense
1-0
AWAY LDU Quito
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Orense vs LDU Quito
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orense nicked a narrow win over LDU Quito 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Orense made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Orense had 41% of the ball to LDU Quito's 59%, shots finished 11-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orense had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Orense and 1.00 for LDU Quito.

What was the final score of Orense vs LDU Quito?

Orense 1-0 LDU Quito in the Ecuador - Premier on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orense vs LDU Quito?

Before kick-off our model rated an LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Orense 32%, draw 28%, LDU Quito 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (LDU Quito) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (LDU Quito) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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