Nantes 0-3 Rennes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.58
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.56
6+ Goals
10%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.49
1/2
9%
31.5
1/X
10%
13.85
X/1
13%
5.87
X/2
15%
4.9
X/X
8%
3.94
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
15%
3.49
2/X
8%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.1pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.6pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-5.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+5.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.9pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nantes EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Rennes EU Bookmakers 43%
-13% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -15%
1.34/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.33
-32% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 81%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.2
21.8 Crosses 19.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nantes
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Rennes
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.20 xG 1.71
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
271 Passes 436
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2023 Rennes Rennes 3-1 HT 1-1 Nantes Nantes FR1
26.02.2023 Nantes Nantes 0-1 HT 0-1 Rennes Rennes FR1
09.10.2022 Rennes Rennes 3-0 HT 1-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
27.07.2022 Nantes Nantes 0-1 HT 0-0 Rennes Rennes HAZ
11.05.2022 Nantes Nantes 2-1 HT 1-1 Rennes Rennes FR1
22.08.2021 Rennes Rennes 1-0 HT 0-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nantes
0-3
AWAY Rennes
0.18 xG 2.37
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
298 Passes 395
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
2 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Nantes vs Rennes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rennes ran out comfortable winners over Nantes 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Rennes found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Nantes had 44% of the ball to Rennes's 56%, shots finished 6-14, expected goals 0.18 to 2.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rennes led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Nantes and 1.67 for Rennes.

What was the final score of Nantes vs Rennes?

Nantes 0-3 Rennes in the France - Ligue 1 on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nantes vs Rennes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rennes win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Nantes 35%, draw 26%, Rennes 38%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rennes) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rennes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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