Suwon City 2-1 Jeju United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 20 Apr 2024

Suwon City
2-1 HT 0-1
Jeju United
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
South Kore - K League Classic – 2024

Suwon City vs Jeju United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.93
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.98
6+ Goals
12%
18.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.46
1/2
8%
33.0
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
20%
5.09
X/2
17%
5.93
X/X
10%
4.23
2/1
8%
29.0
2/2
10%
4.27
2/X
6%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.8pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.7pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.4pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Suwon City v Jeju United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suwon City EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeju United EU Bookmakers 36%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -5%
1.32/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.14
+38% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +20%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
328 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 79%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
16.2 Crosses 16.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.9

Suwon City vs Jeju United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suwon City
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Jeju United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.02 xG 2.08
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
338 Passes 384
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 32
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.12.2023 Suwon City Suwon City 1-1 HT 0-1 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
12.08.2023 Jeju United Jeju United 3-0 HT 2-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
14.05.2023 Suwon City Suwon City 0-5 HT 0-1 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
26.02.2023 Jeju United Jeju United 0-0 HT 0-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
02.09.2022 Suwon City Suwon City 2-2 HT 1-1 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
15.05.2022 Suwon City Suwon City 1-3 HT 1-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK

Suwon City 2-1 Jeju United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suwon City
2-1
AWAY Jeju United
62% Ball Possession 38%
2 Total Shots 3
0 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 1
488 Passes 217
82% Pass Accuracy 69%
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Suwon City vs Jeju United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suwon City edged past Jeju United 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Suwon City as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Suwon City had 62% of the ball to Jeju United's 38%, shots finished 2-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jeju United led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Suwon City and 2.33 for Jeju United.

What was the final score of Suwon City vs Jeju United?

Suwon City 2-1 Jeju United in the South Kore - K League Classic on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suwon City vs Jeju United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suwon City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Suwon City 42%, draw 23%, Jeju United 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Suwon City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Suwon City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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