FC Goa 2-1 Chennaiyin FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
55%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
21%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.23
Over
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
25%
4.56
2-3
42%
1.9
4-5
23%
2.89
6+
10%
8.26
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.56 — our 25% vs market 17.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
FC Goa win — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
55%
Home Win
56%
-1.5pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.7pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+0.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.8pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Goa The Market 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Chennaiyin FC The Market 24%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
1.55/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.10
-37% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
384 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
30.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
29.7 Crosses 19.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Goa
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Chennaiyin FC
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.68 xG 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
378 Passes 221
79% Pass Accuracy 69%
26 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2024 FC Goa FC Goa 4-1 HT 3-1 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HİNSL
05.11.2023 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 0-3 HT 0-2 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
16.02.2023 FC Goa FC Goa 1-2 HT 0-1 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HİNSL
21.10.2022 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 0-2 HT 0-1 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
09.02.2022 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 0-5 HT 0-4 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
08.01.2022 FC Goa FC Goa 1-0 HT 0-0 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Goa
2-1
AWAY Chennaiyin FC
0.81 xG 1.14
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
249 Passes 188
69% Pass Accuracy 64%
23 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Goa vs Chennaiyin FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Goa nicked a narrow win over Chennaiyin FC 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Goa as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, FC Goa had 55% of the ball to Chennaiyin FC's 45%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 0.81 to 1.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Goa had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for FC Goa and 0.50 for Chennaiyin FC.

What was the final score of FC Goa vs Chennaiyin FC?

FC Goa 2-1 Chennaiyin FC in the India - Super League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Goa vs Chennaiyin FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Goa win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split FC Goa 55%, draw 24%, Chennaiyin FC 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Goa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Goa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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