Sibenik 2-1 Solin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.18
Draw
22%
5.71
Away
13%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.21
Over 2.5
61%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.81
No
50%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
50%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
5%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
80%
-15.3pp
22%
Draw
14%
+7.3pp
14%
Away Win
6%
+8.0pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.9pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
32%
+18.0pp
50%
BTTS No
68%
-18.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sibenik EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Solin EU Bookmakers 8%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.34/0.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-14% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +82%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
456 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sibenik
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Solin
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
06.11.2023 Sibenik Sibenik 1-0 HT 0-0 Solin Solin HIR2
10.02.2018 Solin Solin 2-0 HT 1-0 Sibenik Sibenik HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sibenik
2-1
AWAY Solin
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sibenik vs Solin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sibenik nicked a narrow win over Solin 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sibenik as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Sibenik had 61% of the ball to Solin's 39%, shots finished 13-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sibenik and 1.00 for Solin.

What was the final score of Sibenik vs Solin?

Sibenik 2-1 Solin in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sibenik vs Solin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sibenik win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Sibenik 65%, draw 22%, Solin 14%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sibenik), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sibenik) ✓ Over 2.5
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