Vukovar 1-1 Dugopolje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 20 Apr 2024

Vukovar
1-1 HT 1-0
Dugopolje
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Croatia - 2.HNL – 2023/2024

Vukovar vs Dugopolje Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
27%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
61%
-14.8pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.6pp
27%
Away Win
16%
+10.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.2pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vukovar v Dugopolje — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vukovar EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Dugopolje EU Bookmakers 20%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.84/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.39
+5% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +9%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
501 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

Vukovar vs Dugopolje Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vukovar
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Dugopolje
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.12.2023 Dugopolje Dugopolje 1-2 HT 0-2 Vukovar Vukovar HIR2

Vukovar 1-1 Dugopolje — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vukovar
1-1
AWAY Dugopolje
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vukovar vs Dugopolje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vukovar and Dugopolje couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Vukovar at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Vukovar had 62% of the ball to Dugopolje's 38%, shots finished 13-7.

What was the final score of Vukovar vs Dugopolje?

Vukovar 1-1 Dugopolje in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vukovar vs Dugopolje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vukovar win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Vukovar 46%, draw 27%, Dugopolje 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Vukovar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vukovar) ✓ Under 2.5
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