Southern District RSA 0-2 Sham Shui Po — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.32
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
15%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.96
Over 2.5
61%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
71%
-9.3pp
23%
Draw
17%
+5.7pp
16%
Away Win
12%
+3.6pp
39%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.2pp
61%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.8pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southern District RSA EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Sham Shui Po EU Bookmakers 15%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.17/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/4.23
-28% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -35%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
434 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southern District RSA
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Sham Shui Po
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
09.12.2023 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 1-1 HT 1-0 Sham Shui Po Sham Shui Po HONFK
20.08.2023 Sham Shui Po Sham Shui Po 1-4 HT 0-2 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
12.03.2023 Sham Shui Po Sham Shui Po 0-3 HT 0-0 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
POST-MATCH Southern District RSA vs Sham Shui Po
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sham Shui Po saw off Southern District RSA 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Southern District RSA carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Southern District RSA had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Southern District RSA and 0.67 for Sham Shui Po.

What was the final score of Southern District RSA vs Sham Shui Po?

Southern District RSA 0-2 Sham Shui Po in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southern District RSA vs Sham Shui Po?

Before kick-off our model rated a Southern District RSA win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Southern District RSA 62%, draw 23%, Sham Shui Po 16%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Southern District RSA) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HK1 More Hong Kong - Premier League
20 Apr 2024
10:00 Wofoo Tai Po vs Kitchee Analysis →
13:00 Lee Man vs Hong Kong FC Analysis →