Lee Man 2-0 Hong Kong FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.11
Draw
18%
8.78
Away
12%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
53%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
85%
-15.6pp
18%
Draw
8%
+9.7pp
12%
Away Win
6%
+5.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.9pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lee Man EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Hong Kong FC EU Bookmakers 9%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
3.31/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.25/2.93
+10% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / -2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
376 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lee Man
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Hong Kong FC
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
68% Ball Possession 32%
19 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
31.03.2024 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC 0-4 HT 0-2 Lee Man Lee Man HK1
11.02.2023 Lee Man Lee Man 2-1 HT 1-0 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC HK1
13.11.2022 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Lee Man Lee Man HK1
12.12.2021 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC 0-3 HT 0-1 Lee Man Lee Man HK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lee Man
2-0
AWAY Hong Kong FC
73% Ball Possession 27%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lee Man vs Hong Kong FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lee Man beat Hong Kong FC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lee Man as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Lee Man had 73% of the ball to Hong Kong FC's 27%, shots finished 12-6.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Lee Man had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for Lee Man and 0.50 for Hong Kong FC.

What was the final score of Lee Man vs Hong Kong FC?

Lee Man 2-0 Hong Kong FC in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lee Man vs Hong Kong FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lee Man win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Lee Man 70%, draw 18%, Hong Kong FC 12%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lee Man), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lee Man) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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