Grulla Morioka 1-1 Ryukyu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.3pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.3pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-2.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.1pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grulla Morioka EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Ryukyu EU Bookmakers 43%
+14% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.43/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.12
+9% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
284 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grulla Morioka
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Ryukyu
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
14.10.2023 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka 2-2 HT 0-1 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP3
11.03.2023 Ryukyu Ryukyu 2-1 HT 0-1 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka JAP3
06.07.2022 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka 0-1 HT 0-1 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP2
05.03.2022 Ryukyu Ryukyu 1-2 HT 1-0 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grulla Morioka
1-1
AWAY Ryukyu
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Grulla Morioka vs Ryukyu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grulla Morioka and Ryukyu couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Grulla Morioka had 48% of the ball to Ryukyu's 52%, shots finished 13-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ryukyu led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Grulla Morioka and 1.50 for Ryukyu.

What was the final score of Grulla Morioka vs Ryukyu?

Grulla Morioka 1-1 Ryukyu in the Japan - J3 League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grulla Morioka vs Ryukyu?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ryukyu win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Grulla Morioka 34%, draw 30%, Ryukyu 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ryukyu) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ryukyu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP3 More Japan - J3 League
20 Apr 2024
08:00 Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kamatamare Sanuki Analysis →