Baerum 5-3 Askollen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.18
Draw
21%
7.13
Away
17%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
27%
3.94
Over 2.5
73%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%
1.43
No
32%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
12%
19.2
2-3 Goals
31%
3.56
4-5 Goals
35%
2.34
6+ Goals
22%
2.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
12%
2/2
6%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
80%
-18.0pp
21%
Draw
11%
+10.5pp
17%
Away Win
9%
+7.6pp
27%
Under 2.5
22%
+5.6pp
73%
Over 2.5
78%
-5.6pp
68%
BTTS Yes
66%
+2.0pp
32%
BTTS No
34%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baerum EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Askollen EU Bookmakers 12%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
4.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/3.38
+18% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -8%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
414 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baerum
5-3
AWAY Askollen
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Baerum vs Askollen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baerum got the better of Askollen 5-3. Half-time: 4-2. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Baerum as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (73%), both teams to score (68%) came in.

On the day, Baerum had 43% of the ball to Askollen's 57%, shots finished 14-11.

What was the final score of Baerum vs Askollen?

Baerum 5-3 Askollen in the Norway - 3rd Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baerum vs Askollen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baerum win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Baerum 62%, draw 21%, Askollen 17%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baerum), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Baerum) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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