Nardo 4-0 Orkla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 20 Apr 2024

Nardo
4-0
Orkla
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Norway - 3rd Division – 2024

Nardo vs Orkla Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.27
Draw
15%
5.71
Away
16%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
26%
3.94
Over 2.5
74%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
1.5
No
33%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
74%
-5.0pp
15%
Draw
15%
-0.0pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+4.9pp
26%
Under 2.5
22%
+4.1pp
74%
Over 2.5
78%
-4.1pp
67%
BTTS Yes
62%
+4.9pp
33%
BTTS No
38%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nardo v Orkla — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nardo EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Orkla EU Bookmakers 14%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +26%
3.75/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/3.20
+21% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -3%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
469 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8

Nardo vs Orkla Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nardo
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Orkla
2.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.08.2023 Orkla Orkla 1-3 HT 0-2 Nardo Nardo NOR4
29.04.2023 Nardo Nardo 4-1 HT 3-0 Orkla Orkla NOR4
30.07.2022 Orkla Orkla 2-4 HT 0-3 Nardo Nardo NOR4
21.05.2022 Nardo Nardo 1-0 HT 1-0 Orkla Orkla NOR4
18.04.2018 Orkla Orkla 2-1 HT 0-0 Nardo Nardo NOK
POST-MATCH Nardo vs Orkla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nardo cruised past Orkla 4-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nardo as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (74%) landed while both teams to score (67%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Nardo had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for Nardo and 1.20 for Orkla.

What was the final score of Nardo vs Orkla?

Nardo 4-0 Orkla in the Norway - 3rd Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nardo vs Orkla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nardo win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Nardo 69%, draw 15%, Orkla 16%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nardo), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nardo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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