Gornik Leczna 0-1 Lechia Gdansk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
34%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.8
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.17
6+ Goals
10%
20.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 33% vs market 29.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
31%
+6.8pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
34%
Away Win
41%
-7.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.8pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gornik Leczna EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Lechia Gdansk EU Bookmakers 45%
+20% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.51/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.51
+30% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -27%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
301 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gornik Leczna
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Lechia Gdansk
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.95 xG 2.99
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
234 Passes 450
70% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 34
22 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2023 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 1-1 HT 0-1 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL1
19.03.2022 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 2-0 HT 1-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL
24.09.2021 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 0-4 HT 0-2 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL
28.11.2016 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 3-0 HT 1-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL
25.07.2016 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 1-2 HT 0-1 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL
19.12.2015 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 3-1 HT 2-1 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gornik Leczna
0-1
AWAY Lechia Gdansk
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Gornik Leczna vs Lechia Gdansk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lechia Gdansk squeezed past Gornik Leczna 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Lechia Gdansk found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Gornik Leczna had 51% of the ball to Lechia Gdansk's 49%, shots finished 10-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lechia Gdansk led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gornik Leczna and 2.17 for Lechia Gdansk.

What was the final score of Gornik Leczna vs Lechia Gdansk?

Gornik Leczna 0-1 Lechia Gdansk in the Poland - 1st Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gornik Leczna vs Lechia Gdansk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gornik Leczna win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Gornik Leczna 37%, draw 28%, Lechia Gdansk 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gornik Leczna) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gornik Leczna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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