Tychy 71 1-3 Resovia Rzeszow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.24
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.63
6+ Goals
10%
14.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 28% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.4pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
29%
Away Win
22%
+7.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.7pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tychy 71 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Resovia Rzeszow EU Bookmakers 25%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.61/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.57
-2% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tychy 71
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Resovia Rzeszow
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2023 Resovia Rzeszow Resovia Rzeszow 2-0 HT 1-0 Tychy 71 Tychy 71 POL1
03.04.2023 Resovia Rzeszow Resovia Rzeszow 0-1 HT 0-1 Tychy 71 Tychy 71 POL1
28.08.2022 Tychy 71 Tychy 71 1-1 HT 1-0 Resovia Rzeszow Resovia Rzeszow POL1
28.11.2021 Tychy 71 Tychy 71 0-1 HT 0-0 Resovia Rzeszow Resovia Rzeszow POL1
06.08.2021 Resovia Rzeszow Resovia Rzeszow 1-0 HT 1-0 Tychy 71 Tychy 71 POL1
27.03.2021 Resovia Rzeszow Resovia Rzeszow 0-0 HT 0-0 Tychy 71 Tychy 71 POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tychy 71
1-3
AWAY Resovia Rzeszow
56% Ball Possession 44%
22 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 6
12 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tychy 71 vs Resovia Rzeszow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Resovia Rzeszow saw off Tychy 71 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Tychy 71 at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Tychy 71 had 56% of the ball to Resovia Rzeszow's 44%, shots finished 22-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Resovia Rzeszow led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Tychy 71 and 0.83 for Resovia Rzeszow.

What was the final score of Tychy 71 vs Resovia Rzeszow?

Tychy 71 1-3 Resovia Rzeszow in the Poland - 1st Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tychy 71 vs Resovia Rzeszow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tychy 71 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Tychy 71 46%, draw 25%, Resovia Rzeszow 29%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tychy 71) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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