Ruch Chorzow 2-3 Widzew Lodz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 20 Apr 2024

Ruch Chorzow
2-3 HT 0-1
Widzew Lodz
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2023/2024

Ruch Chorzow vs Widzew Lodz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.04
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.85
6+ Goals
9%
16.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 27% vs market 27.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.49
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
11%
5.17
X/2
9%
5.83
X/X
13%
4.34
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
15%
4.14
2/X
9%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+1.4pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-3.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.0pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ruch Chorzow v Widzew Lodz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ruch Chorzow EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Widzew Lodz EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +10%
1.60/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.17
-22% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
23.4 Crosses 23.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2

Ruch Chorzow vs Widzew Lodz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ruch Chorzow
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Widzew Lodz
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.41 xG 2.16
33% Ball Possession 67%
6 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
203 Passes 485
70% Pass Accuracy 86%
6 Box Touches 44
10 Crosses 39
The Meetings
18.11.2023 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 2-1 HT 0-1 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow POL
28.02.2014 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow 2-1 HT 1-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
25.09.2013 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 0-1 HT 0-0 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow POL
02.03.2013 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow 3-0 HT 1-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
25.08.2012 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 2-0 HT 1-0 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow POL
31.03.2012 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-2 HT 0-1 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow POL

Ruch Chorzow 2-3 Widzew Lodz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ruch Chorzow
2-3
AWAY Widzew Lodz
1.76 xG 1.88
56% Ball Possession 44%
23 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
416 Passes 316
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
37 Box Touches 29
35 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ruch Chorzow vs Widzew Lodz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Widzew Lodz squeezed past Ruch Chorzow 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and on the day Widzew Lodz made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ruch Chorzow had 56% of the ball to Widzew Lodz's 44%, shots finished 23-14, expected goals 1.76 to 1.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ruch Chorzow had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ruch Chorzow and 1.00 for Widzew Lodz.

What was the final score of Ruch Chorzow vs Widzew Lodz?

Ruch Chorzow 2-3 Widzew Lodz in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ruch Chorzow vs Widzew Lodz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ruch Chorzow win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ruch Chorzow 40%, draw 30%, Widzew Lodz 30%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ruch Chorzow) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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